Description

This analysis provides a forecast of VET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 0.007791 0.008784 0.009858 0.011105 0.012514 0.014058 0.015878
2026-01-04 0.006278 0.007659 0.009274 0.011305 0.013794 0.016748 0.020529
2026-01-11 0.005463 0.007037 0.008982 0.011567 0.014918 0.019126 0.024830
2026-01-18 0.004754 0.006401 0.008528 0.011484 0.015498 0.020777 0.028275
2026-01-25 0.004238 0.005928 0.008196 0.011474 0.016107 0.022447 0.031833
2026-02-01 0.003767 0.005451 0.007790 0.011289 0.016414 0.023684 0.034849
2026-02-08 0.003452 0.005152 0.007589 0.011353 0.017051 0.025403 0.038672
2026-02-15 0.003143 0.004826 0.007310 0.011260 0.017424 0.026738 0.042008
2026-02-22 0.002959 0.004669 0.007260 0.011497 0.018300 0.028882 0.046754
2026-03-01 0.002660 0.004301 0.006853 0.011133 0.018189 0.029461 0.049031
2026-03-08 0.002431 0.004024 0.006561 0.010920 0.018290 0.030367 0.051893
2026-03-15 0.002211 0.003743 0.006237 0.010622 0.018216 0.030963 0.054259
2026-03-22 0.002134 0.003697 0.006300 0.010988 0.019311 0.033634 0.060500
2026-03-29 0.002033 0.003600 0.006270 0.011192 0.020140 0.035915 0.066261
2026-04-05 0.001950 0.003528 0.006275 0.011451 0.021082 0.038463 0.072726
2026-04-12 0.001822 0.003363 0.006100 0.011369 0.021390 0.039878 0.077176
2026-04-19 0.001716 0.003229 0.005972 0.011359 0.021824 0.041553 0.082262
2026-04-26 0.001596 0.003059 0.005762 0.011175 0.021908 0.042563 0.086114
2026-05-03 0.001518 0.002964 0.005684 0.011239 0.022476 0.044547 0.092089
2026-05-10 0.001427 0.002836 0.005535 0.011147 0.022722 0.045907 0.096891
2026-05-17 0.001381 0.002793 0.005547 0.011381 0.023648 0.048704 0.104953
2026-05-24 0.001273 0.002617 0.005281 0.011021 0.023309 0.048870 0.107362
2026-05-31 0.001190 0.002484 0.005093 0.010810 0.023266 0.049645 0.111163